Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.096553 0.104291 0.112524 0.121962 0.132519 0.144004 0.157495
2024-10-27 0.082438 0.092866 0.104627 0.118981 0.136175 0.156295 0.181904
2024-11-03 0.077388 0.089988 0.104851 0.123909 0.148047 0.178091 0.219118
2024-11-10 0.074358 0.088740 0.106343 0.129881 0.161178 0.202347 0.262364
2024-11-17 0.069694 0.084831 0.103893 0.130231 0.166639 0.216753 0.293966
2024-11-24 0.064953 0.080323 0.100128 0.128240 0.168386 0.225827 0.318733
2024-12-01 0.060659 0.076020 0.096204 0.125524 0.168597 0.232385 0.340211
2024-12-08 0.056504 0.071595 0.091746 0.121591 0.166503 0.235012 0.355404
2024-12-15 0.053926 0.069120 0.089758 0.120961 0.169150 0.245084 0.384447
2024-12-22 0.051249 0.066336 0.087127 0.119126 0.169676 0.251653 0.408136
2024-12-29 0.049705 0.065033 0.086496 0.120188 0.174786 0.266287 0.449143
2025-01-05 0.047125 0.062116 0.083342 0.117126 0.172867 0.268509 0.466159
2025-01-12 0.044403 0.058993 0.079899 0.113675 0.170506 0.270584 0.485337
2025-01-19 0.041996 0.056234 0.076877 0.110731 0.168834 0.273907 0.508405
2025-01-26 0.041649 0.056469 0.078368 0.115158 0.180383 0.303678 0.597961
2025-02-02 0.041531 0.057023 0.080359 0.120550 0.194265 0.340367 0.716015
2025-02-09 0.040271 0.055769 0.079422 0.120865 0.198703 0.358281 0.791706
2025-02-16 0.038656 0.053887 0.077369 0.119068 0.198865 0.366944 0.844443
2025-02-23 0.037020 0.051899 0.075040 0.116612 0.197477 0.371921 0.888011
2025-03-02 0.035271 0.049665 0.072202 0.113055 0.193546 0.370499 0.911417
2025-03-09 0.034221 0.048490 0.071050 0.112484 0.195662 0.383709 0.987600
2025-03-16 0.033028 0.047040 0.069370 0.110823 0.195336 0.390924 1.046122
2025-03-23 0.032391 0.046453 0.069108 0.111785 0.200674 0.413246 1.169866